October 15, 2024
The National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) has relaunched yellow pea futures, effective October 16. We spoke with the CEO about the implications for the pulses market in India and beyond.
We're seizing a new opportunity with yellow peas. India is the largest importer of pulses globally, and we're perennially in short supply. Our domestic production is just about 50% of our total consumption. The government has allowed duty-free imports of yellow peas until the end of the year, possibly extending to March 2025. This gives us a window to introduce these futures.
We plan to have two delivery centers. One will be in Kanpur, North India, near the domestic production center. The other will be near Kandla port, where imports arrive. This structure balances both domestic and imported supplies.
Our ultimate goal is to stabilize prices. Futures provide farmers with price indications for their crops months in advance, helping them make informed sowing decisions. It also gives the government early signals about potential supply shortages, allowing them to plan imports if necessary.
While self-sufficiency is an ambitious goal given our limited land resources, aspiring for it can lead to increased production. Even if we don't achieve 100% self-sufficiency, we might increase our domestic production significantly. The futures market can play a role in this by providing price signals to farmers.
The main risks are related to the supply chain. Shipment delays from exporting countries like Canada and Russia could be a major risk, as it takes 45-60 days for shipments to reach India. Quality degradation during transport is another potential risk. However, we believe the benefits outweigh these risks.
The market finds its own equilibrium. While we're not explicitly signaling to international markets, our futures prices will provide valuable information to global producers and traders about the Indian market's needs and expectations.
Currently, yellow pea prices have been declining, so there's no immediate need for price support. The market seems to be finding its balance without intervention. As NCDEX prepares to launch this new futures contract, it marks a significant step in India's pulse market development. The success of yellow pea futures could pave the way for the reintroduction of other pulse futures in the future.
I've been in my current role as CEO of NCDEX for the last two and a half years. Prior to this, I was the executive director of a dairy development board, dealing with milk during the entire Corona virus period. Before that, I worked as a banker, primarily focusing on agriculture, rural development, and the microfinance industry. I also spent about six years heading a not-for-profit NGO called International Resources for Fair Trade. My career began in agriculture banking, so I've always had a strong connection to the agricultural sector.
yellow pea markets / yellow pea futures / futures contracts / commodity trade / pea futures / pea trade / global dry pea markets / global pea markets / Arun Raste / NCDEX / India
Disclaimer: The opinions or views expressed in this publication are those of the authors or quoted persons. They do not purport to reflect the opinions or views of the Global Pulse Confederation or its members.