Trade Talk

December 4, 2025

2025/26 Brazilian bean outlook/
A record year, softening prices, and a disappearing Mexican market

2025/26 Brazilian bean outlook: 2025/26 Brazilian bean outlook / A record year, softening prices, and a disappearing Mexican market

Luke Wilkinson

Head Writer

At a glance


  • Brazil enters 2025/26 with a record export year behind it — but soft domestic prices and weather-hit yields are reshaping farmers’ plans.
  • First-crop bean plantings are expected to fall as growers react to heavy rains, low returns, and shrinking opportunities in Mexico.
  • IBRAFE warns that without price recovery, Brazil’s black bean, black matpe, and mung bean production could all drop in 2026.

The first dry bean crop; bean numbers to drop

“The first dry bean crop is planted in October/November and will be harvested in January. Farmers are very upset with the prices right now, as this has been a year of low prices on the local market. We usually grow about 1 MMT of beans in this crop. We expect to have 15% less this year — the main state for this bean crop, Paraná, has struggled with heavy rains and will have difficulties with yield.

According to CONAB (National Supply Company), the total area is estimated at 848,000 hectares for black beans and colored beans, including red, speckled, and white varieties. The Brazilian Institute of Beans and Pulses (IBRAFE) however, estimates an area of less than 800,000 hectares.

Because of the rains, we expect first-quarter prices to increase. The appetite for buying is not very good at the moment, but people who want to secure good prices for the first trimester need to buy now.”

READ THE FULL ARTICLE

Brazil’s black bean exports into Mexico are likely to taper off this year.

WhatsApp Icon

Want to become a member? Contact us!