Market Updates

Monsoon turns against India’s pigeon pea/
Yet policy keeps doors open


Maisam Ali

Supply Chain Analyst - GPC

At a glance


  • Excessive monsoon rainfall has slashed India’s 2025–26 pigeon pea output by nearly 20%.
  • Maharashtra and Karnataka report extensive crop losses, triggering concerns over shrinking stocks.
  • Analysts expect India to extend its duty-free import policy to stabilize prices and ensure supply.

Heavy rains have reduced yields across India’s major pigeon pea belts, pushing the market toward tighter supplies and higher prices.

Prolonged and excessive rainfall across India’s key pigeon pea–growing regions has damaged large tracts of cropland, raising concerns of a tighter supply outlook and firmer prices in the coming months. Market analysts now expect India’s 2025–26 pigeon pea (tur) production to drop significantly from last year’s levels, with heavy losses concentrated in Maharashtra and Karnataka — the two largest producing states.

According to IGrain India, India’s pigeon pea production for the 2025–26 marketing year is expected to fall to around 30 lakh tons, down from 35 lakh tons a year earlier. “Heavy rains and adverse weather conditions have caused significant crop damage, resulting in a noticeable drop in yields,” the report noted. Total supply is estimated at 50.71 lakh tons, with consumption near 46 lakh tons, leaving an ending stock of just 4.51 lakh tons — nearly half of last year’s carryover. The firm expects that this sharp decline in closing stocks may begin to pressure markets from March 2026 onwards.

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With shrinking domestic stocks, traders expect import arrivals to play a larger role in meeting India’s pulse demand.

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