April 15, 2026
With rainfall projected at just 92% of the average, the upcoming season faces its toughest challenge in years. This deficiency threatens urad and tur yields, likely increasing import reliance to stabilize domestic prices.
Rain-fed crops like tur are highly vulnerable to soil moisture levels during the germination stage.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted a weaker-than-normal southwest monsoon for 2026, with rainfall expected at only 92% of the Long Period Average (LPA) during June–September. There is also a 66% probability that rainfall will remain in the “deficient to below normal” category. If this forecast proves accurate, it would make 2026 the weakest monsoon year since 2015.
READ THE FULL ARTICLEReduced production of black matpe may force a higher reliance on imports from Myanmar and Brazil.
India pulses / monsoon 2026 / kharif crops / import dependency / IMD forecast / agricultural inflation
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