October 1, 2025
September brings a big jump in StatCan’s lentil crop estimate – but what will this mean in such a strong year in global supplies? Industry experts pick apart the latest news on Canada’s extra-large crop.
Faced with downward price pressure from global oversupply, the Canadian bumper harvest provides a key advantage: exceptional quality.
Whatever the final numbers, one thing is for certain: this year is a big year for lentils across North America.
US lentil production is forecast to have risen 22% YoY, according to the USDA, totalling approximately 503 KMT. But Canada will be the true bumper crop. The September StatCan estimate projects 2.972 MMT of production compared to its August estimate of 2.655 MMT – a jump of 317 KMT in total.
There is a range of predictions from experts in the industry. Talking at the 2025 Pulse and Special Crops Convention (PSCC) earlier this month, Marlene Boersch of Mercantile Consulting Venture forecasted around 2.75 MMT of lentil production from an average yield of around 1552 kilograms per hectare (1395 lbs per acre) – although she added the caveat that this was an estimate on the lower end of the range. Other panelists, such as Jay Paskaruk of AGT foods believes yields could be similar to the 2013 record of 2074 kg per hectare (1850 lbs per acre) – roughly one third higher than Boersch’s prediction.
READ THE FULL ARTICLE
Disclaimer: The opinions or views expressed in this publication are those of the authors or quoted persons. They do not purport to reflect the opinions or views of the Global Pulse Confederation or its members.
